Field Kit · reference card

Risk-Based Regression Triage Sheet

Five inputs build the model. Two safety nets keep it honest. Print this before your next suite redesign.

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The five inputs

Don't start with "what's the risk?" Start with what's actually true about the suite you have.

01 · Audit the suite as it actually existed

What ran, who ran it, when, where, and why — not what the test plan claimed, what actually happened release after release. Map the inputs and outputs of that data, and every stakeholder with a stake in it: who consumed the results, who owned the systems under test, who'd feel it if a tier got cut.

02 · Heat-map the coverage

Plot the current tests against the areas of the application they actually exercise. Turns "we probably cover the important stuff" into a picture — where coverage is thick, where it's thin, where it doesn't exist.

03 · Get business to define "critical"

Partner with business stakeholders to build a rubric for what functionality has to be in the regression suite. A rubric survives someone leaving the team; a gut feeling doesn't.

04 · Model what the vendor platform already recommends

Don't invent a coverage strategy from nothing. Check the testing platform's own guidance for regression coverage and adopt what actually fits your shop.

05 · Formalize it as risk-based testing, ISTQB-style

Score product risk the way the standard defines it — likelihood a component fails, weighted by the impact if it does. Tiering the suite stops being a judgment call and becomes a documented, repeatable method.

The two safety nets

Risk-based only stays honest if something keeps checking it. Skip these and "risk-based" is just "we stopped testing and hoped."

Net 1 · a cheap full sweep on a cadence

Nightly or weekly, run the whole suite regardless of tier. That's what keeps "not this release" from quietly becoming "never."

Net 2 · an escaped-defect feedback loop

Every bug that reaches production is a vote that the risk model missed something. Feed root-cause findings back into the rubric and the risk scoring — not just into a retro doc nobody rereads.

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